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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.33+6.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.64+8.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+6.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+3.14vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.36-0.51vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.05-0.54vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.30+1.86vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.99-2.76vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.31-5.83vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.63-3.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.03vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-5.95vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-3.09vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.56-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.45College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.86Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.56Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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14.91Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mac Mace | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 20.4% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 32.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.