Race 4A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Odell 13.3% 13.1% 14.0% 13.2% 13.6% 11.5% 9.8% 6.9% 3.8% 0.9%
Jakub Fuja 20.9% 18.6% 16.1% 13.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Zach Earnshaw 5.2% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.5% 11.2% 11.8% 15.4% 16.7% 9.6%
Owen Grainger 21.6% 19.6% 15.2% 14.3% 11.8% 8.6% 5.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Zachary Amelotte 10.4% 10.5% 11.2% 13.5% 12.8% 12.9% 10.9% 9.8% 5.9% 1.9%
Richard Kalich 8.8% 9.9% 10.8% 10.8% 12.2% 13.7% 11.7% 11.2% 7.8% 2.9%
Curtis Mallory 4.5% 5.3% 5.7% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 12.4% 16.2% 18.9% 13.6%
Sean Morrison 4.0% 4.4% 5.5% 5.3% 8.0% 8.4% 11.8% 15.1% 20.8% 16.7%
William Delong 10.0% 10.2% 11.3% 11.0% 11.6% 12.3% 12.8% 10.9% 7.8% 2.1%
Colin Kenny 1.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 7.1% 9.0% 16.2% 51.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.