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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.66+8.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+7.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.91+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.41+5.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+6.65vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.36+6.07vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+6.06vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29+3.67vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97+5.42vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.50-3.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.73-5.09vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.64+0.06vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.76vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.94vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-0.26vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.15-6.07vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-0.99-3.49vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.13-4.16vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-20.65vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley0.50-12.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.1%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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16.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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19.06California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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17.67San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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20.42California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.91University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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19.06San Diego State University-0.640.0%1st Place
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19.24University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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19.06California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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21.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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20.51San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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20.84Arizona State University-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Hayes | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Long | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 14.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Marra | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harris | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 12.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.