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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+4.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+1.85vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.46+10.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-0.67vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56+3.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.90+13.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.11+8.91vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.87+6.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+4.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.11-2.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.60-5.48vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-0.83vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.29-6.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.13-6.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-4.31vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-4.83vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-0.10-8.30vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.19-3.38vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.06vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-0.44-9.37vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-6.45vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine-1.02-8.20vs Predicted
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27Arizona State University-1.71-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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14.79San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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9.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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21.09University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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17.91University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.87San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.54University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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15.58University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Berkeley0.600.0%1st Place
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15.17California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.17California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Berkeley-0.100.0%1st Place
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18.62University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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20.94California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.63San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
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18.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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17.8University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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21.09Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.