← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+4.21vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+2.95vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+9.08vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-1.11+14.12vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-0.33vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+5.99vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.65vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.29+2.71vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56+0.47vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+4.67vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+4.59vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-7.50vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.60+2.65vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.10-0.95vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-0.44-0.22vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-0.87+1.00vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-1.90+4.40vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley0.60-8.54vs Predicted
-
19California State University Channel Islands-1.81+2.08vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.19-1.96vs Predicted
-
21San Diego State University-0.46-6.13vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-1.71-1.42vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-1.02-5.43vs Predicted
-
24California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-9.15vs Predicted
-
25California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-10.15vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis0.13-14.14vs Predicted
-
27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
-
12.08University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
18.12University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
-
4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
-
11.99University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
9.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
-
10.71University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
-
14.67University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
-
15.59University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
-
15.65University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
13.05University of California at Berkeley-0.100.0%1st Place
-
14.78San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
-
17.0San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
21.4University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of California at Berkeley0.600.0%1st Place
-
21.08California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
18.04University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
-
14.87San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
20.58Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
-
17.57University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.85California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
-
14.85California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
19.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 14.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.