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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+3.53vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.44+12.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+6.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.13+7.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-0.08vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.46+8.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56+2.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+5.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-5.65vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+3.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.19+6.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.11+4.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+1.06vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.71+5.07vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28+2.24vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.90+2.84vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-14.33vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.10-7.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.09-9.45vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley0.29-11.51vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.87-6.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.60-9.41vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.42vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-11.70vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley-2.52-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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14.28San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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14.17San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.1%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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14.3California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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18.03University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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17.44University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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15.06University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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20.07Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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18.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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16.99University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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20.84University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Berkeley-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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16.18San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.59University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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20.58California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.3California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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23.07University of California at Berkeley-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 17.4% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 16.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julie Soules | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 43.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.