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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+9.04vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.04vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.79+10.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.66vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33+1.34vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+7.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92+1.36vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.31-1.71vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-2.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+0.90vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-1.97vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-2.87vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-1.94vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-6.55vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.99-7.28vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.56-6.31vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.64-7.75vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.04University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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14.0University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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7.34Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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14.88Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.03Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.13Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.06Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 32.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| John Stokes | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.