Race 5A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Benjamin Reeser 18.4% 18.1% 16.6% 15.2% 12.5% 9.4% 5.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Owen Grainger 16.6% 17.3% 17.0% 14.6% 12.3% 10.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Edward Herman 29.4% 24.9% 17.4% 11.9% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Amelotte 9.6% 9.2% 12.0% 13.4% 13.4% 13.0% 12.5% 9.8% 5.6% 1.8%
Curtis Mallory 3.5% 3.5% 6.0% 5.9% 8.2% 10.1% 13.9% 16.8% 20.2% 11.8%
Richard Kalich 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 11.3% 12.1% 13.8% 14.2% 11.9% 8.2% 2.3%
Sean Morrison 2.6% 3.9% 4.4% 6.5% 7.5% 10.5% 13.0% 16.4% 20.4% 14.8%
William Delong 7.1% 8.8% 10.0% 12.3% 14.5% 13.5% 13.6% 11.5% 6.7% 2.1%
Caleb Burt 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 8.0% 10.4% 12.8% 17.3% 20.0% 11.2%
Georgia Green 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.8% 5.7% 9.0% 16.7% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.