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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.10+7.11vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.46+8.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.13+4.18vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.87+7.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.11+7.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+3.31vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+0.14vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.44-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.08vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-2.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.29-7.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.11-7.65vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.90+0.49vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-6.57vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-3.62vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.62vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.19-6.20vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.02-8.30vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley-2.52-2.99vs Predicted
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27Arizona State University-1.71-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Berkeley-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.26San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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15.99San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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17.41University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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14.13San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.43California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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20.49University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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14.43California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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18.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.0%1st Place
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20.38California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.8University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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16.7University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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23.01University of California at Berkeley-2.520.0%1st Place
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20.47Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 14.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 15.3% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 18.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Johnson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Julie Soules | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 41.1% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.