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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.16+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.05+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.04+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.30-2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.28-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Wisconsin1.300.3%1st Place
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3.67University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 26.4% | 25.8% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Clara Brown | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 31.3% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 22.0% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 22.5% | 24.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 34.5% | 26.2% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 11.9% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.