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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+7.06vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.63+6.47vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+4.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+1.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-0.05vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+1.83vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-0.61vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+3.25vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.40vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.05-5.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-4.38vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.88vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-5.97vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.15vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.47Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.94Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.39College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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15.25Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Mac Mace | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 34.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.