← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.39+1.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island0.82+1.74vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.73+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Boston University0.25+1.31vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-1.41vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.18-2.02vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.75vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-0.79-1.84vs Predicted
-
10Bates College-1.91-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.73Roger Williams University1.3929.6%1st Place
-
3.74University of Rhode Island0.8217.2%1st Place
-
6.69McGill University-0.733.7%1st Place
-
5.31Boston University0.258.2%1st Place
-
3.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8818.4%1st Place
-
6.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.673.1%1st Place
-
4.98University of Vermont0.189.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.027.4%1st Place
-
7.16Salve Regina University-0.792.4%1st Place
-
8.79Bates College-1.910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Edward Herman | 29.6% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Owen Grainger | 17.2% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Curtis Mallory | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 11.5% |
Richard Kalich | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
Benjamin Reeser | 18.4% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Caleb Burt | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 10.2% |
Zachary Amelotte | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
William Delong | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
Sean Morrison | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 14.4% |
Georgia Green | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.