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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+2.65vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.01+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.04+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.30-2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.05-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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2.6Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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4.08University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Wisconsin1.300.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Youtt | 12.0% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 28.9% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Clara Brown | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 29.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 33.5% | 26.6% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 19.9% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.