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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.16+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.04+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.05-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.30-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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3.6University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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2.31University of Wisconsin1.300.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 25.9% | 25.2% | 22.2% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 12.8% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 14.6% |
| Clara Brown | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 22.9% | 29.4% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 9.6% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 25.4% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 26.3% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 34.3% | 26.6% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.