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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.05+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.04+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.28-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.16-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.30-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Northwestern University1.010.3%1st Place
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3.93University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.33University of Wisconsin1.300.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 26.5% | 25.4% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 9.6% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 21.7% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 23.3% | 24.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 12.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 15.0% |
| Clara Brown | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 34.1% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 34.5% | 26.1% | 20.3% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.