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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.30+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.16+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.05-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.04-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.28-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Northwestern University1.010.2%1st Place
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2.26University of Wisconsin1.300.4%1st Place
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4.24University of Minnesota-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Notre Dame-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 24.4% | 27.7% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 38.0% | 25.4% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Clara Brown | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 23.1% | 29.2% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 28.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.