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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+4.66vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+8.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.49+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.67vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.03vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+1.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82+0.13vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.20-2.54vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.99vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.64-7.29vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-6.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.71-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.98Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.46Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 18.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% |
| Emma Snead | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.