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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.33+6.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+7.74vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+7.53vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.31+3.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+7.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+3.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.96vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.60vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.84vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.05-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.99-2.20vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+3.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.09-4.92vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.17-5.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.63-4.69vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.84vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-5.08vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.56-7.36vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.74Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.53College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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15.26Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.92Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 35.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| John Stokes | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.