← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.89+5.55vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.75+9.19vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.38+2.00vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.99+2.39vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.49+3.12vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.20+3.63vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.80vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.55+3.73vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.13+0.95vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.30-1.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.98vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.64-4.26vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-5.15vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.82-2.79vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.71-3.55vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.17vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.44-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.55Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
11.19Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.0Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.39Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.12Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.63Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.73Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.92Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
-
9.02University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.74College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
11.21Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.45Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 20.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.