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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.87vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.82+8.92vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.51vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+4.28vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+2.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13+2.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71+2.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55+1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.96vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-5.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-3.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.00vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.99-8.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.27vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.75-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.92Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.28Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.63Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.94Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 17.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Dana Haig | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.4% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.