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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.92vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+7.41vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+4.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55+3.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.05vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75+1.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.71+0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-2.32vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.85vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.30-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-6.19vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.49-7.68vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.89-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.41Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.72Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Dana Haig | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 17.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.