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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.13+8.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+4.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+2.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+5.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.56vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+5.44vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.49vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30+0.90vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-0.51vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.64-2.41vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82+0.14vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.20-2.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-1.43vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.89-7.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-7.24vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-7.09vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.55-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.0Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.44Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.49Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.08Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Skye Shepherd | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.