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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.83vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+5.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.53vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+4.37vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+3.30vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13+1.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75+2.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-2.52vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-0.05vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-5.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.28vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.71-4.53vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.37Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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11.47Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.95Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 17.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 20.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.