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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+4.65vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.64+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.13+4.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+5.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-0.54vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-1.11vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-1.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.27vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.86vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-7.54vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.71-3.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.08vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.75-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.66Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 17.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 18.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.8% |
| Emma Snead | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.