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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+7.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.77vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.49+4.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.04vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.64+1.87vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.69vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-1.72vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+0.72vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75+1.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.89-4.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.55-0.05vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-4.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.71-3.63vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.18vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.82-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.87College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.28Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.86Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.95Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.37Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 20.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.6% |
| Emma Snead | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.