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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+6.58vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+7.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+6.69vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+2.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+3.26vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+5.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.65vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.59vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.89-4.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-1.05vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.64-5.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.01vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-5.26vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.71-4.51vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.75-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.39Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.02Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.