Race 1B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Crager 23.5% 21.4% 19.1% 15.7% 11.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 24.6% 22.1% 19.1% 16.0% 10.3% 5.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
David Vinogradov 21.7% 19.4% 21.1% 15.2% 11.9% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Towner 5.7% 8.2% 9.4% 11.8% 13.9% 18.4% 16.5% 10.8% 4.6% 0.7%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.8% 4.0% 4.9% 6.3% 8.5% 13.9% 19.7% 21.3% 13.6% 4.0%
Buck Rathbun 12.4% 14.8% 14.2% 18.4% 17.7% 12.8% 5.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Kevin McNeill 2.8% 4.2% 5.0% 6.9% 12.1% 14.2% 17.8% 21.7% 12.0% 3.3%
Tiernan O'Kane 3.6% 4.2% 5.1% 7.8% 10.1% 15.8% 20.4% 19.0% 11.3% 2.9%
Harry Boutemy 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.9% 4.7% 8.3% 13.2% 35.5% 30.9%
David Rush 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 4.3% 8.7% 22.3% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.