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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.13+8.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.96vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+3.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+2.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+3.89vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.70vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+4.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.49-1.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.82+0.14vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.64-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-4.00vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.20-4.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.14vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.75-4.67vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.71-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.8Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.97Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.46Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.