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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+7.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.76vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13+6.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+1.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+1.57vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+2.49vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.73vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-1.71vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.64-1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.28vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.75+0.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.42vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.20-4.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.26vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.55-3.88vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.71-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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5.04Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.37Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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12.12Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Dana Haig | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 19.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.