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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.11+6.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+6.96vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.38vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.52+2.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+6.15vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17+2.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.52+3.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.07+3.89vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.22-1.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64-0.10vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.54-4.36vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-4.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-5.87vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-6.61vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.38-8.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.78-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.59Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.89Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.89Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.64Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.29U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Majernik | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 19.5% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.