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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.89+7.78vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.17+5.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+6.60vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.52+2.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.30+2.23vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.38+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64+1.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.22-2.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.43vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.11-3.89vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.35vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.07-1.71vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-6.58vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-9.47vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.78-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.58Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.29Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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13.23U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Gear | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 13.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 20.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.