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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.52+5.42vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+4.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.38+4.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+9.10vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+4.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30+1.59vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.64+3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.83vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.22-2.45vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.40vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.17-4.13vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-2.50vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.07-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-6.93vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.15-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.39Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.1U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.55Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.87College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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12.16Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 30.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| Grace Gear | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.