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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+5.33vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.38+4.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.52+3.54vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17+4.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+3.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-0.76vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.22-1.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64-0.15vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.40vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.07-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.11-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-5.97vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.52-5.36vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.19U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.29Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicole Simon | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 31.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 18.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.