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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+6.12vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.89+6.84vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+3.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17+3.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.52+1.38vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.38+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+0.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.22-1.23vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-1.87vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.64vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-1.55vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.07-1.69vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-4.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.82vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.64-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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6.42Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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12.31Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.18U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Julia Johansson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Payton Thompson | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Grace Gear | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 20.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 28.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.