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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+7.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+7.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+6.79vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.99+4.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+5.73vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+1.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17+1.05vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.30+4.12vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+1.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.09-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.02vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-0.56vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54+1.70vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.33-6.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-3.32vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.05-7.60vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.69vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.77vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.56-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.79Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.73Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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12.12Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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14.02University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.44University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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14.7Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| John Stokes | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Mac Mace | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 21.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 29.9% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.