Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Crager 21.9% 21.4% 20.0% 16.4% 11.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Chwalk 27.1% 23.6% 18.9% 14.5% 9.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 12.4% 14.9% 14.9% 17.4% 16.2% 12.6% 7.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
David Vinogradov 22.1% 19.6% 19.4% 15.6% 12.2% 7.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Towner 5.3% 7.0% 9.8% 12.2% 16.6% 17.4% 16.1% 11.2% 3.5% 0.9%
Kevin McNeill 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 7.0% 10.0% 15.3% 20.3% 20.8% 11.2% 3.3%
Tiernan O'Kane 3.6% 4.2% 6.2% 8.2% 10.5% 15.6% 19.6% 19.1% 10.8% 2.3%
David Rush 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 0.8% 1.9% 2.6% 4.6% 9.1% 23.8% 55.0%
Harry Boutemy 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 5.0% 6.8% 11.9% 34.8% 34.2%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.4% 4.0% 3.6% 5.9% 8.8% 13.8% 19.1% 22.4% 15.0% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.