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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.89+6.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.34vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.52+0.67vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.38+0.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+3.08vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.17-0.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52+0.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-3.91vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.64-3.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-5.44vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.07-3.76vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.22-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.47Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.13U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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12.24Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Julia Johansson | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 32.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Grace Gear | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.