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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+6.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+5.19vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+4.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.52+2.57vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.89+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+1.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.38-1.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.22-1.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-1.82vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-0.92vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-2.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.36vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-3.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.97vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.07-3.84vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.19Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.69Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.18Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.03U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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12.16Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Simon | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Payton Thompson | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Julia Johansson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 30.9% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.