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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+6.10vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+6.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+4.78vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+4.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.38+1.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.22+1.75vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.32vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.52-1.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.75vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43-3.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.89-4.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.64-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-7.04vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.07-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Pennsylvania1.890.0%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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12.14Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicole Simon | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Payton Thompson | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 31.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Julia Johansson | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.