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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.52+5.31vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.64+7.80vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+4.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+4.40vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.38+1.84vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17+1.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.57vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-1.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.52+1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-1.22vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-2.69vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.89-3.98vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.22-6.25vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.07-2.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.84vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.30-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Dartmouth College2.520.1%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.69Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Pennsylvania1.890.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.05Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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13.16U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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7.43Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Julia Johansson | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 19.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 28.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.