Race 1A

dark-night

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Honke 8.2% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 11.1% 9.2% 10.5% 11.4% 7.1% 6.1% 5.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Alexandra Talbot 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.5% 6.1% 6.6% 8.0% 10.7% 11.7% 9.7% 12.8% 8.6% 5.6%
Wells Drayton 6.8% 8.0% 8.7% 11.6% 10.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.9% 9.0% 6.4% 5.4% 3.3% 0.6%
Hannah Steadman 28.6% 20.5% 16.8% 12.1% 8.5% 7.3% 2.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Bryan Trammell 9.5% 10.3% 11.0% 11.1% 8.8% 10.0% 11.1% 9.2% 7.0% 5.6% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
Gabriel Hannon 7.7% 9.3% 9.5% 9.8% 10.0% 10.8% 10.7% 8.6% 7.1% 6.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.8%
Alec Bodenski 1.2% 2.8% 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 6.3% 7.7% 11.9% 19.2% 32.3%
Caleb Niles 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.4% 9.6% 4.7% 4.2% 1.0%
Matthew Galbraith 3.9% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.5% 6.4% 6.0% 8.7% 8.3% 14.0% 12.5% 13.2% 10.2%
Kyle Dochoda 15.4% 16.4% 14.4% 12.8% 11.1% 8.4% 7.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Aryaman Dutta 4.0% 3.6% 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.1% 9.9% 9.9% 12.3% 10.1% 9.7% 4.5%
John Holt 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 7.4% 6.3% 12.4% 19.4% 34.2%
Nicholas Memoli 2.3% 3.4% 4.1% 2.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.7% 10.3% 12.9% 13.7% 13.8% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.