Race 2A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ragna Agerup 38.9% 25.8% 17.8% 9.0% 4.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Galbraith 2.2% 3.5% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 8.9% 13.0% 11.4% 14.3% 11.7% 6.8%
Wells Drayton 5.6% 7.9% 9.7% 11.2% 10.2% 11.7% 11.8% 9.1% 9.4% 6.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
Gabriel Hannon 6.1% 8.3% 9.1% 11.2% 12.4% 9.3% 11.0% 9.7% 7.4% 8.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8%
Caleb Niles 6.6% 6.8% 8.4% 10.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.5% 10.1% 8.8% 8.9% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Kyle Dochoda 13.4% 15.9% 15.3% 13.0% 12.3% 9.9% 8.1% 4.7% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 4.7% 5.0% 4.5% 6.4% 7.2% 8.0% 7.8% 10.1% 10.6% 12.5% 10.5% 9.1% 3.6%
Bryan Trammell 7.9% 10.0% 11.4% 10.9% 9.5% 13.5% 9.8% 10.9% 5.8% 5.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Aryaman Dutta 3.1% 4.4% 5.6% 4.9% 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 10.4% 12.6% 10.7% 11.7% 9.2% 4.7%
Charles Honke 8.0% 8.3% 8.3% 11.8% 10.7% 11.6% 10.7% 8.9% 7.6% 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.9%
John Holt 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.8% 6.2% 6.8% 8.8% 16.5% 18.6% 23.7%
Alec Bodenski 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 4.2% 2.4% 4.7% 5.0% 7.1% 8.3% 12.6% 20.0% 30.2%
Sarah Alix 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.9% 5.5% 7.2% 10.4% 12.2% 19.9% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.