Race 2B

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Spencer Dellenbaugh 9.4% 8.1% 9.8% 10.8% 9.7% 12.0% 12.4% 11.6% 8.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 13.7% 12.9% 13.9% 12.2% 13.3% 10.1% 9.2% 7.6% 5.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 12.1% 16.0% 11.7% 11.7% 12.4% 11.1% 10.6% 7.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.3% 8.6% 11.7% 9.6% 11.3% 12.1% 11.5% 10.5% 8.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Maria Brush 14.1% 11.9% 11.4% 12.9% 11.7% 10.9% 11.0% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Kostas 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 8.1% 14.9% 18.9% 28.1% 11.3%
Jed Bell 17.4% 16.0% 16.4% 13.3% 10.9% 9.1% 7.7% 5.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Sabourin 15.4% 14.9% 13.4% 13.4% 12.0% 11.6% 9.3% 5.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Megan Blagden 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 5.0% 6.3% 10.4% 16.6% 20.2% 21.2% 6.3%
Seth Pardi 1.5% 2.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 8.1% 12.2% 17.5% 19.3% 17.3% 5.0%
Paige Tyler 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.5% 3.7% 4.1% 5.1% 9.2% 13.0% 17.5% 19.3% 15.9% 5.8%
Jesus Esgueva 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.5% 4.3% 6.0% 12.6% 70.6%
Emma Montgomery 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 6.2% 6.5% 8.1% 9.6% 14.4% 17.5% 13.4% 9.0% 3.3% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.