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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.30+1.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+1.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.18-0.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.64-0.18vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.05-0.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.49-1.74vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.64+0.10vs Predicted
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10McGill University-2.14-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Rhode Island1.3028.1%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7816.1%1st Place
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2.97Roger Williams University1.1823.5%1st Place
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3.82Boston University0.6413.9%1st Place
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6.72Salve Regina University-0.932.3%1st Place
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5.26University of Vermont-0.057.1%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.514.5%1st Place
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6.26University of Minnesota-0.492.9%1st Place
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9.1Bates College-2.640.7%1st Place
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8.52McGill University-2.140.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Chwalk | 28.1% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Joey Richardson | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Jack Crager | 23.5% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Buck Rathbun | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Tyler Winowiecki | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 24.3% | 14.8% | 4.5% |
Ella Towner | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
Evan Tofolo | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 2.2% |
David Rush | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 22.7% | 59.4% |
Harry Boutemy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 37.5% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.