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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+5.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+9.40vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+8.37vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.50+1.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.33+4.76vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.33vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.72+1.29vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.57+0.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+0.43vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-1.68vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-2.38vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.93-4.16vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.69vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-5.93vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.07-0.47vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-6.20vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.28-2.99vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.87-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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11.37Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.83Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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14.53Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| John Wallace | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Tedd Himler | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.7% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Eric Horrocks | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
| Olin Davis | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Keller | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 33.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 25.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.