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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.84+5.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+1.61vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+3.86vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.00+1.77vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+1.41vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.61+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49-0.94vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.00-0.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.66-3.17vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.89vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.82-1.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.92-8.13vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.64-2.96vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-9.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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3.61Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.86Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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5.77College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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7.02Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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8.79SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.04Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Clancy | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 23.9% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 24.8% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 21.9% | 43.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.