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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.18+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.30+0.83vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.93+3.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.64-0.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.49+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.05-1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-2.09vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.14-0.52vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.64-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Roger Williams University1.1824.0%1st Place
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2.83University of Rhode Island1.3026.0%1st Place
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6.52Salve Regina University-0.932.8%1st Place
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3.91Boston University0.6414.6%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7816.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Minnesota-0.493.7%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont-0.056.1%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.515.2%1st Place
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8.48McGill University-2.141.1%1st Place
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9.1Bates College-2.640.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Crager | 24.0% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Christopher Chwalk | 26.0% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 23.5% | 14.2% | 3.4% |
Buck Rathbun | 14.6% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Joey Richardson | 16.1% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
Ella Towner | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
Evan Tofolo | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
Harry Boutemy | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 34.2% | 34.4% |
David Rush | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 24.2% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.