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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+5.75vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+9.33vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+4.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.33+5.76vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.57+3.83vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+2.55vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.61+1.65vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+1.64vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.50-3.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.54vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-7.08vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-4.80vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.28-0.44vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.07-0.54vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.73-7.68vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-5.73vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.87-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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8.83Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.55Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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5.33Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.56University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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14.46Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.27Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Michael Russom | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 22.1% |
| Robert Keller | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 32.0% |
| Olin Davis | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.