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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+8.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.54vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+6.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+2.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.85vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49+0.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83+1.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-2.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-1.30vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31+0.81vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.28-1.36vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.80-5.34vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-7.65vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.59-2.75vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.35Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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14.25Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.4Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 20.4% | 24.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.