← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+5.34vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.12+6.65vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.83+6.87vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.97+4.94vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.93+0.35vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.88vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.09+1.51vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.31+3.57vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.49-2.14vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.65vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.28+0.91vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.80-1.91vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.01vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.59-0.17vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.47-8.01vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.15-7.61vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College2.82-7.22vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.08-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.34Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.65Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
-
9.87Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
-
8.94Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.35Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.51Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.57Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
6.86Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
12.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.91University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
-
10.09University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
-
7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
13.83Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
-
6.99Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.39Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
9.78Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
15.4Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Christian Filter | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Mack Fox | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Joey Lark | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 21.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.