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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80+5.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+7.17vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97+3.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-0.88vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+0.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.83+0.60vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-4.37vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-1.18vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.08+3.62vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.28-1.43vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-7.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-7.21vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-1.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.74vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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12.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University2.830.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.62Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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14.79Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Christian Filter | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 19.7% | 43.7% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Root | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 22.8% | 28.1% |
| Mack Fox | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.