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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+7.05vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+7.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+4.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.02vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80+3.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-0.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+3.32vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-0.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+2.61vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-3.96vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-3.18vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-4.89vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-3.81vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-6.03vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-0.52vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.28-5.11vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.59-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.04Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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15.48Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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13.97Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 10.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Christian Filter | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 45.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.