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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+5.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.44vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+1.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+2.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.00vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36+3.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+0.33vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.49-2.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-1.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-3.07vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.59+1.11vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-5.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.80-6.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.82-7.06vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.69Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.23Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.11Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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15.49Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Emily Haig | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 24.3% |
| Christian Filter | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 19.2% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.