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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.30+1.75vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.64+1.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+0.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.18-0.96vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.05-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.49-0.73vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-1.93vs Predicted
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9McGill University-2.14-0.51vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.64-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Rhode Island1.3028.3%1st Place
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3.88Boston University0.6414.2%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7817.6%1st Place
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3.04Roger Williams University1.1822.6%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University-0.932.8%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont-0.056.2%1st Place
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6.27University of Minnesota-0.493.7%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.513.0%1st Place
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8.49McGill University-2.141.1%1st Place
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9.06Bates College-2.640.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Chwalk | 28.3% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Buck Rathbun | 14.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Joey Richardson | 17.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Jack Crager | 22.6% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
Ella Towner | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
Tiernan O'Kane | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
Evan Tofolo | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
Harry Boutemy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 34.7% | 34.2% |
David Rush | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 23.7% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.