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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.73vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.49vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.33+4.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+3.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+1.85vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.91vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-0.51vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.50-4.43vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-2.12vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.07+1.34vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.87-2.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.03-4.01vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-7.92vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.73-8.66vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.28-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.85Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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10.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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14.34Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.99Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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13.68University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.5% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Eric Horrocks | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Michael Russom | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| Robert Keller | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 32.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Ian Towill | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Olin Davis | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.