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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.27vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+2.13vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+3.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.06+2.75vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+2.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.07vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-1.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.83vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-4.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-3.52vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-1.72vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.83-7.18vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.08-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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12.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.28Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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15.47Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Mack Fox | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 12.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Haig | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Joey Lark | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 24.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 18.5% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.