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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+5.26vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+7.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+5.43vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.89vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+3.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+3.23vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+1.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+2.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-1.18vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.06-3.06vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-4.13vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.08+1.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.01vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-4.25vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.44vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.22Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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8.94Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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15.25Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.63Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 18.4% | 41.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
| Anthony Root | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.